The 'best' movies are not always in the running nor are the 'best' performances. Some times yes the voters get it right.
And what is right? Wow, that is so politically, monetarily, egotistical to know really know what's right.
I remember when the classic Miller's Crossing was snubbed or how about L.A. Confidential? (even though that was at least nominated). And don't get me started on the instant American Classic; The Shawshank Redemption.
At times they get it right as well. Jodie Foster for the Accused, not a great movie by any stretch but her performance was as 'real' as they come.
Craig was great as Bond, he's been great in everything he's done even playing Paul Newman's weak gangster son in Road to Perdition. But he will be ignored because, well the role of Bond is a trifle in these matters.
I want Scorsese to finally get his due and The Departed is one of his best efforts since Goodfellas but that said... I will have no problem if Clint Eastwood gets chummy with Oscar again. Who else put out two movies back to back that were filmed at the same time that have the gravitas, emotional pull and artistry of Flags of Our Fathers and Letters From Iwo Jima? Sure Peter Jackson did an amazing job with the Rings all at once but they do not hold up as a 'best' picture to the Eastwood bookends.